Biases
Survivorship bias is why advice from people who succeeded is mostly noise
· 3 min read
Adrian Novak
Staff writer, Think Twice Today
Adrian joined to cover biases, choices, risk and stayed for the awkward questions and would rather show the working than assert the conclusion.
9 articles
Biases
The outside view asks how things like this usually go
· 4 min read
Habits
Paying for something people already wanted to do can backfire
· 3 min read
Habits
Switching between tasks costs more than the interruption itself
· 3 min read
Biases
The idea that a good deed licenses a bad one has thinner support than its fame
· 4 min read
Choices
The future gets a discount, and the rate is not constant
· 3 min read
Choices
Some trade-offs get refused rather than answered, and the refusal is doing work
· 4 min read
Risk
A probability about a single event needs a reference class before it means anything
· 3 min read
Evidence
A number can become a fact by being cited often enough
· 3 min read