Biases
Survivorship bias is why advice from people who succeeded is mostly noise
· 3 min read
Biases
The predictable ways judgement bends, and what actually reduces them.
20 articles · page 1 of 2
Biases
Base rate neglect: why a vivid detail beats a background number
When a description feels like a match, people stop asking how many of that kind exist in the first place, and that omission drives a surprising share of everyday misjudgement.
By Samar Bhatia · · 4 min read
Biases
Hindsight makes a coin flip look like a plan
· 4 min read
Biases
Anchoring survived the replication wars, but its explanation did not
· 3 min read
Biases
Confirmation bias is a search problem before it is a belief problem
· 3 min read
Biases
The outside view asks how things like this usually go
· 4 min read
Biases
What comes to mind easily gets treated as common
· 3 min read
Biases
The same option described as a loss or a gain stops being the same option
· 3 min read
Biases
One strong impression contaminates every judgement that follows
· 3 min read
Biases
Confidence tracks how easily an answer arrives, not how often it is right
· 3 min read
Biases
Character is the first explanation offered and the least examined
· 4 min read
Biases
Motivated reasoning and plain ignorance produce the same wrong answer
· 4 min read