Risk
Absolute and relative risk describe the same event and feel nothing alike
· 3 min read
Varun Krishnan
Deputy editor, Think Twice Today
Varun writes the explanatory pieces on biases, choices, risk and would rather show the working than assert the conclusion.
20 articles
Risk
Expected value stops being good advice when the loss is permanent
· 3 min read
Risk
Risk and uncertainty are not the same problem
· 4 min read
Habits
What the research on habit formation actually supports
· 3 min read
Habits
Friction decides more than motivation does
· 3 min read
Biases
What comes to mind easily gets treated as common
· 3 min read
Biases
The same option described as a loss or a gain stops being the same option
· 3 min read
Biases
One strong impression contaminates every judgement that follows
· 3 min read
Choices
When the clock is the binding constraint, cut analysis before you cut evidence
· 3 min read
Risk
The best and worst performers are usually just the smallest ones
· 4 min read
Biases
Character is the first explanation offered and the least examined
· 4 min read
Biases
Ask someone to explain a mechanism and the understanding evaporates
· 4 min read
Choices
A bright line and a rule of thumb fail in opposite directions
· 4 min read
Risk
The hot hand was debunked and then the debunking was corrected
· 4 min read
Habits
Keeping a change going is a different problem from starting one
· 4 min read
Habits
Habits appear to spread between people, and proving it is very hard
· 3 min read
Biases
Round numbers and precise ones are read as two different kinds of claim
· 4 min read
Biases
Repetition makes a statement feel true, including one you know is false
· 3 min read
Choices
Many preferences are assembled at the moment of choosing rather than looked up
· 4 min read
Habits
Sleeping on a decision helps, though not for the reason usually given
· 3 min read