Risk
A risk that is negligible for you is certain for someone
· 3 min read
Risk
Probability in ordinary life, and the numbers people consistently misread.
20 articles · page 2 of 2
Risk
The hot hand was debunked and then the debunking was corrected
· 4 min read
Risk
A near miss is data, and it is almost always read as reassurance
· 3 min read
Risk
A more detailed scenario is always less likely and usually more convincing
· 4 min read
Risk
A probability about a single event needs a reference class before it means anything
· 3 min read
Risk
Every precaution introduces a risk of its own somewhere else
· 3 min read
Risk
A one-in-a-million figure was calculated, not observed
· 3 min read
Risk
Why some risks frighten more than their numbers warrant, and when that is defensible
· 3 min read